Wednesday, February 20 -- 11:30AM
Winter Storm Watch for Thursday morning thru Friday afternoon...
Well, the NWS is sure putting the "fear of God" into us with all of this "Winter Storm" talk. I gotta be honest, though....it doesn't look to be anything terribly significant at this point.
I have a feeling that if we get anything, we are going to see quite a bit of sleet with this storm. And while sleet is slippery, and the accumulation and freezing of a layer of sleet can create havoc with travel, the truth is this almost never happens. When we get a lot of sleet, I typically lament that we got robbed of a major snow storm.
The good news is that the POTENTIAL is there for this to be a real mess of a storm. We are in the bullseye for snow, sleet and freezing rain.
What does all of this mean? It means that right now I don't have a good "bead" on this storm. I need another model run before I can make a prediction.
I'm thinking mostly sleet, but wishing for mostly snow!
-WD
Wednesday, February 20, 2008
Tuesday, February 19, 2008
Winter Storm Thursday?
Tuesday, February 19 -- 12:40PM
Hmmm. Not so sure about his system for Thursday. That's both good news and bad news.
First, the bad news:
Hmmm. Not so sure about his system for Thursday. That's both good news and bad news.
First, the bad news:
- Looks like this system will be another one with bad timing, with precip happening during the daylight hours.
- There does not appear to be a ton of moisture associated with this system
- It's PLENTY bleedin' cold for this system to bring wintry precipitation.
- There is a lot of uncertainty in the models, which means things could be worse than they currently predict
- The storm has not even come on shore from the Pacific yet, so lots can change
- The most precip is forecasted to occur along the I-70 corridor
So, keep your fingers crossed. But all current indications are that this will be more of an inconvenience than a Winter Storm. Let's hope that changes!
-WD
Monday, February 11, 2008
Sorry, All. This one is NOT "The Big One"
Monday, February 11 -- 9:30AM
Winter Weather Advisory in Effect through Tuesday morning.....
I will cut right to the chase and tell you that school likely won't be cancelled due to this so-called storm.
I almost was not even willing to blog about this "storm," due to its insignificance. All weekend, I followed the models and the forecast updates, and there was really no reason (in my feeble mind) to get excited about this storm. The main energy of this storm is south of STL by 50-100 miles, and that is where the Winter Storm Warnings are. All we have is a lousy Winter Weather Advisory. The difference between a Winter Storm Warning and a Winter Weather Advisory is like the difference between a severe thunderstorm and a moderate rain shower.
But, my fans simply DEMAND and update, so here it is.
The timing of this storm is all wrong, both from a duration and onset standpoint. This will be a long storm with light precipitation throughout, quite unlike the heavy snow we experienced during the January 30th storm. Since the precipitation should be light, and spread out over such a long period, the streets should be fairly easy for the plows to get cleared. None of this bodes well for school closings.
Drop Dead prediction:
50% chance - 2" of snow, along with a light glazing of ice...but no big deal
20% chance - 3-5" of snow (IF this happens, it could close schools)
15% chance - less than 2" of snow, along with a little ice
15% chance - nothing
Sorry weather fans, but this just ain't "The Big One."
-WD
Winter Weather Advisory in Effect through Tuesday morning.....
I will cut right to the chase and tell you that school likely won't be cancelled due to this so-called storm.
I almost was not even willing to blog about this "storm," due to its insignificance. All weekend, I followed the models and the forecast updates, and there was really no reason (in my feeble mind) to get excited about this storm. The main energy of this storm is south of STL by 50-100 miles, and that is where the Winter Storm Warnings are. All we have is a lousy Winter Weather Advisory. The difference between a Winter Storm Warning and a Winter Weather Advisory is like the difference between a severe thunderstorm and a moderate rain shower.
But, my fans simply DEMAND and update, so here it is.
The timing of this storm is all wrong, both from a duration and onset standpoint. This will be a long storm with light precipitation throughout, quite unlike the heavy snow we experienced during the January 30th storm. Since the precipitation should be light, and spread out over such a long period, the streets should be fairly easy for the plows to get cleared. None of this bodes well for school closings.
Drop Dead prediction:
50% chance - 2" of snow, along with a light glazing of ice...but no big deal
20% chance - 3-5" of snow (IF this happens, it could close schools)
15% chance - less than 2" of snow, along with a little ice
15% chance - nothing
Sorry weather fans, but this just ain't "The Big One."
-WD
Friday, February 1, 2008
Winter Storm Wrapup
Friday, February 1 -- 1:35PM
I've been hearing a lot of smack-talk lately that I am just "lucky," that I don't know what I am talking about, and all I am good for is parroting that blowhard Dave Murray. If you don't wanna hear my predictions, that's cool! I can always keep 'em to myself!
For all of you weatha hatin suckas out there, here's a recap. What was I right about? In a word, everything. I predicted 5" of snow for us. We got 5.5 inches of snow at our house....OK, I was off by a half inch. I predicted widespread school closings for Friday. And what do we have? Widespread school cancellations today....are you enjoying your day off, that I predicted on Monday?
I am the Champion, my friends! What else needs to be said? I am the greatest Weatherdork out there!
Til next time, I remain yours in weather....
-WD
I've been hearing a lot of smack-talk lately that I am just "lucky," that I don't know what I am talking about, and all I am good for is parroting that blowhard Dave Murray. If you don't wanna hear my predictions, that's cool! I can always keep 'em to myself!
For all of you weatha hatin suckas out there, here's a recap. What was I right about? In a word, everything. I predicted 5" of snow for us. We got 5.5 inches of snow at our house....OK, I was off by a half inch. I predicted widespread school closings for Friday. And what do we have? Widespread school cancellations today....are you enjoying your day off, that I predicted on Monday?
I am the Champion, my friends! What else needs to be said? I am the greatest Weatherdork out there!
Til next time, I remain yours in weather....
-WD
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